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Optimal vaccine allocation for the control of sexually transmitted infections
(2023-04-15)
The burden of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) poses a challenge due to its
large negative impact on sexual and reproductive health worldwide. Besides simple
prevention measures and available treatment efforts, ...
The effect of mixed vaccination rollout strategy: A modelling study
(2023-03-10)
Vaccines have measurable efficacy obtained first from vaccine trials. However, vaccine efficacy (VE) is not a static measure and long-term population studies are needed to evaluate its performance and impact. COVID-19 ...
Modeling secondary infections with temporary immunity and disease enhancement factor: Mechanisms for complex dynamics in simple epidemiological models
(2022-10-04)
Modeling insights for epidemiological scenarios characterized by chaotic dynamics have been largely unexplored. A rigorous analysis of such systems are essential for a real predictive power and a more accurate disease ...
Modeling the initial phase of COVID-19 epidemic: The role of age and disease severity in the Basque Country, Spain
(2022-07-13)
Declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 has spread rapidly around the globe. With eventually substantial global underestimation of infection, by the end of March 2022, more than 470 million ...
Modeling Dengue Immune Responses Mediated by Antibodies: Insights on the Biological Parameters to Describe Dengue Infections
(2022-03-18)
Dengue fever is a viral mosquito-borne disease, a significant global health concern, with more than one third of the world population at risk of acquiring the disease. Caused by 4 antigenically distinct but related virus ...
Seasonally Forced SIR Systems Applied to Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Bifurcations, and Chaos
(2022-03-03)
We investigate models to describe respiratory diseases with fast mutating virus pathogens such that after some years the aquired resistance is lost and hosts can be infected with new variants of the pathogen. Such models ...
Modelling Holling type II functional response in deterministic and stochastic food chain models with mass conservation
(2022-03-01)
The Rosenzweig-MacArthur predator-prey model is the building block in modeling food chain, food webs and ecosystems. There are a number of hidden assumptions involved in the derivation. For instance the prey population ...
Understanding COVID-19 Epidemics: A Multi-Scale Modeling Approach
(2022-02-18)
COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020 and, since then, research on mathematical modeling became imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological dynamics of disease ...
Mathematical models for dengue fever epidemiology: a 10-year systematic review
(2022-02-15)
Mathematical models have a long history in epidemiological research, and as the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, research on mathematical modeling became imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological ...
Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamics of COVID-19: The Case Study of Italy and Spain
(2022-02-13)
In December 2019, a severe respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) caused by a new coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) was identified in China and spread rapidly around the globe. COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization ...