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Analysis of the initial phase of COVID-19 epidemics in Italy: a modeling study
(2022-10-22)
This thesis describes the first years of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy. We started looking at the data given by the Italian Civil Protection and according to the trend we nally described the epidemiological curve through a ...
Modeling secondary infections with temporary immunity and disease enhancement factor: Mechanisms for complex dynamics in simple epidemiological models
Steindorf, V.; Srivastav, A. K.; Stollenwerk, N.
; Kooi, B. W.; Aguiar, M. (2022-10-04)
; Kooi, B. W.; Aguiar, M. (2022-10-04)
Modeling insights for epidemiological scenarios characterized by chaotic dynamics have been largely unexplored. A rigorous analysis of such systems are essential for a real predictive power and a more accurate disease ...
Modeling the initial phase of COVID-19 epidemic: The role of age and disease severity in the Basque Country, Spain
Srivastav, A. K.; Stollenwerk, N.; Bidaurrazaga Van-Dierdonck, J.; Mar, J.; Ibarrondo, O.; Aguiar, M. (2022-07-13)
; Bidaurrazaga Van-Dierdonck, J.; Mar, J.; Ibarrondo, O.; Aguiar, M. (2022-07-13)
Declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 has spread rapidly around the globe. With eventually substantial global underestimation of infection, by the end of March 2022, more than 470 million ...
Modeling Dengue Immune Responses Mediated by Antibodies: Insights on the Biological Parameters to Describe Dengue Infections
Anam, V.; Sebayang, A.A.; Fahlena, H.; Knopoff, D.A.; Stollenwerk, N.; Soewono, E.; Aguiar, M. (2022-03-18)
; Sebayang, A.A.; Fahlena, H.; Knopoff, D.A.; Stollenwerk, N.; Soewono, E.; Aguiar, M. (2022-03-18)
Dengue fever is a viral mosquito-borne disease, a significant global health concern, with more than one third of the world population at risk of acquiring the disease. Caused by 4 antigenically distinct but related virus ...
Seasonally Forced SIR Systems Applied to Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Bifurcations, and Chaos
Stollenwerk, N.; Spaziani, S.; Mar, J.; Knopoff, D.A.; Cusimano, N.; Anam, V.; Aguiar, M.; Eguiguren, I.; Srivastav, A. K. (2022-03-03)
; Spaziani, S.; Mar, J.; Knopoff, D.A.; Cusimano, N.; Anam, V.; Aguiar, M.; Eguiguren, I.; Srivastav, A. K. (2022-03-03)
We investigate models to describe respiratory diseases with fast mutating virus pathogens such that after some years the aquired resistance is lost and hosts can be infected with new variants of the pathogen. Such models ...
Modelling Holling type II functional response in deterministic and stochastic food chain models with mass conservation
Stollenwerk, N.; Aguiar, M.; Kooi, B. W. (2022-03-01)
; Aguiar, M.; Kooi, B. W. (2022-03-01)
The Rosenzweig-MacArthur predator-prey model is the building block in modeling food chain, food webs and ecosystems. There are a number of hidden assumptions involved in the derivation. For instance the prey population ...
Understanding COVID-19 Epidemics: A Multi-Scale Modeling Approach
Aguiar, M.; Anam, V.; Cusimano, N.; Knopoff, D.A.; Stollenwerk, N. (2022-02-18)
; Anam, V.; Cusimano, N.; Knopoff, D.A.; Stollenwerk, N. (2022-02-18)
COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020 and, since then, research on mathematical modeling became imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological dynamics of disease ...
Mathematical models for dengue fever epidemiology: a 10-year systematic review
Aguiar, M.; Anam, V.; Blyuss, K.; Estadilla, C. D. S.; Guerrero, B.; Knopoff, D.A.; Kooi, B. W.; Srivastav, A. K.; Steindorf, V.; Stollenwerk, N. (2022-02-15)
; Anam, V.; Blyuss, K.; Estadilla, C. D. S.; Guerrero, B.; Knopoff, D.A.; Kooi, B. W.; Srivastav, A. K.; Steindorf, V.; Stollenwerk, N. (2022-02-15)
Mathematical models have a long history in epidemiological research, and as the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, research on mathematical modeling became imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological ...
Spatially Extended SHAR Epidemiological Framework of Infectious Disease Transmission
Knopoff, D.A.; Cusimano, N.; Stollenwerk, N.; Aguiar, M. (2022-02-13)
; Cusimano, N.; Stollenwerk, N.; Aguiar, M. (2022-02-13)
Mathematical models play an important role in epidemiology. The inclusion of a spatial component in epidemiological models is especially important to understand and address many relevant ecological and public health ...
Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamics of COVID-19: The Case Study of Italy and Spain
Srivastav, A. K.; Stollenwerk, N.; Aguiar, M. (2022-02-13)
; Aguiar, M. (2022-02-13)
In December 2019, a severe respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) caused by a new coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) was identified in China and spread rapidly around the globe. COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization ...