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dc.contributor.authorStollenwerk, N. 
dc.contributor.authorSpaziani, S.
dc.contributor.authorMar, J.
dc.contributor.authorKnopoff, D.A. 
dc.contributor.authorCusimano, N. 
dc.contributor.authorAnam, V. 
dc.contributor.authorAguiar, M. 
dc.contributor.authorEguiguren, I. 
dc.contributor.authorSrivastav, A. K.
dc.date.accessioned2022-03-21T14:36:44Z
dc.date.available2022-03-21T14:36:44Z
dc.date.issued2022-03-03
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11824/1456
dc.description.abstractWe investigate models to describe respiratory diseases with fast mutating virus pathogens such that after some years the aquired resistance is lost and hosts can be infected with new variants of the pathogen. Such models were initially suggested for respiartory diseases like influenza, showing complex dynamics in reasonable parameter regions when comparing to historic empirical influenza like illness data, e.g., from Ille de France. The seasonal forcing typical for respiratory diseases gives rise to the different rich dynamical scenarios with even small parameter changes. Especially the seasonality of the infection leads for small values already to period doubling bifurcations into chaos, besides additional coexisting attractors. Such models could in the future also play a role in understanding the presently experienced COVID-19 pandemic, under emerging new variants and with only limited vaccine efficacies against newly upcoming variants. From first period doubling bifurcations, we can eventually infer at which close by parameter regions complex dynamics including deterministic chaos can arise.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipMarie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 792494en_US
dc.formatapplication/pdfen_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsReconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 Españaen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/en_US
dc.titleSeasonally Forced SIR Systems Applied to Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Bifurcations, and Chaosen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1155/2022/3556043en_US
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.hindawi.com/journals/cmm/2022/3556043/en_US
dc.relation.projectIDES/1PE/SEV-2017-0718en_US
dc.relation.projectIDEUS/BERC/BERC.2018-2021en_US
dc.relation.projectIDEUS/BMTFen_US
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionen_US
dc.journal.titleComputational and Mathematical Methodsen_US
dc.volume.number2022en_US
dc.issue.number3556043en_US


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Reconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Reconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España