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dc.contributor.authorStraka, M.
dc.contributor.authorBuzna, L.
dc.contributor.authorRefa, N.
dc.contributor.authorMazuelas, S.
dc.description.abstractClimate change prompts humanity to look for decarbonisation opportunities, and a viable option is to supply electric vehicles with renewable energy. The stochastic nature of charging demand and renewable generation requires intelligent charging driven by predictions of charging behaviour. The conventional prediction models of charging behaviour usually minimise the quadratic loss function. Moreover, the adequacy of predictions is almost solely evaluated by accuracy measures, disregarding the consequences of prediction losses in an application context. Here, we study the role of asymmetric prediction losses which enable balancing the over- and under-predictions and adjust predictions to smart charging algorithms. Using the main classes of machine learning methods, we trained prediction models of the connection duration and compared their performance for various asymmetries of the loss function. In addition, we proposed a methodological approach to quantify the consequences of prediction losses on the performance of selected archetypal smart charging schemes. In concrete situations, we demonstrated that an appropriately selected degree of the loss function asymmetry is crucial as it almost doubles the price range where the smart charging is beneficial, and increases the extent to which the charging demand is satisfied up to 40%. Additionally, the proposed methods improve charging fairness since the distribution of unmet charging demand across vehicles becomes more homogeneous.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipIA4TES MIA.2021.M04.0008en_US
dc.rightsReconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 Españaen_US
dc.subjectMachine learningen_US
dc.subjectAsymmetric loss functionen_US
dc.subjectSmart chargingen_US
dc.subjectElectric vehiclesen_US
dc.titleThe role of asymmetric prediction losses in smart charging of electric vehiclesen_US
dc.relation.projectIDinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/Gobierno Vasco/ELKARTEKen_US
dc.journal.titleInternational Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systemsen_US

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Reconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Reconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España